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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+7.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+7.70vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.97+8.29vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.22+5.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+1.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+3.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+1.50vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-0.38vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+3.94vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.31vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.03-0.84vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-3.31vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.67-6.28vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.72-2.96vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-6.67vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-5.61vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.29Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.94Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.16Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.04Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Hannah Lynn | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 19.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.