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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+7.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+5.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+3.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.22+5.80vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+3.53vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+3.31vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97+4.05vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.60vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+3.93vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60-1.40vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-2.85vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.03-0.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-3.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.30-4.72vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.72-2.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.45vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-7.00vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.96Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.05Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.93Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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12.06Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| India Johnstone | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 19.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.