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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.24+9.32vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.03+9.31vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.38+6.76vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.50+8.92vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+2.83vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97+4.26vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-0.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.22+1.19vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60-1.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-2.82vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-6.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.30-4.42vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.72-2.75vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-11.27vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.67-9.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.76George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.92Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.26Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.96Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.19Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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12.25Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Knoles | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% |
| India Johnstone | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 22.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 16.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.