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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+7.63vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.47+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz2.28-1.49vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+5.11vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+7.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.40+5.90vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.86+6.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.03-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.41+6.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-0.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.81+1.60vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-4.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.25+3.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.88-0.29vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.50vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-2.81vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.15-2.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.15+1.74vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.94-5.82vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.01-5.96vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-3.00vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-4.01vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-1.98-4.15vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-2.25-4.27vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.00-11.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.637.9%1st Place
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9.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.0%1st Place
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4.57San Diego State University1.4714.3%1st Place
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2.51University of California at Santa Cruz2.2836.6%1st Place
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10.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.5%1st Place
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13.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.7%1st Place
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12.9University of California at Berkeley-0.401.8%1st Place
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14.42San Diego State University-0.861.5%1st Place
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8.77University of California at San Diego0.034.7%1st Place
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16.76University of California at Davis-1.410.7%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.2%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Berkeley-0.811.7%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.224.5%1st Place
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17.11University of California at San Diego-1.250.7%1st Place
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14.71University of California at Irvine-0.881.4%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Irvine-0.841.2%1st Place
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14.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.881.3%1st Place
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15.59Arizona State University-1.151.2%1st Place
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20.74University of California at Davis-2.150.8%1st Place
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14.18Santa Clara University-0.941.9%1st Place
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15.04San Diego State University-1.011.6%1st Place
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19.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.9%1st Place
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18.99California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.8%1st Place
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19.85California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
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20.73University of California at Los Angeles-2.250.4%1st Place
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14.53University of California at San Diego-1.001.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Sharp | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 36.6% | 25.0% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aivan Durfee | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mayfield | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Parker Ziegler | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Brayden Money | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 22.7% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| julian stauffer | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Luke Graham | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% |
| Annika Altman | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.3% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 23.8% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.