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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+6.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+8.14vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+5.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.57vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+2.30vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+1.86vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72+4.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.34vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.22+0.49vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50+2.25vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.60-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-3.01vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.28vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.54vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-6.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-11.33vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.97-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.3Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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12.2Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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13.25Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.1Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 25.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% |
| India Johnstone | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.