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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.97+10.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+8.18vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.81vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60+3.54vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+3.52vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.26vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.22+2.07vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-0.15vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.12vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+1.45vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-0.90vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.60vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-4.94vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-7.20vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.74-8.84vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.03-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.39Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.51Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.52George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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13.45Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.1Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| India Johnstone | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 26.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.7% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.