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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+9.11vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.54+6.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.83vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60+3.55vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.73vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-0.07vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-0.28vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+1.51vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.38-1.30vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.22-1.42vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-2.15vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.49vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-3.65vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.67-8.58vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.11Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.83Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.51Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.85Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.82Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.35Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 4.8% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% |
| India Johnstone | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 21.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.