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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+6.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+6.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+5.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+4.85vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.43vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+2.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-0.47vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.22+0.26vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.03-0.09vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.36vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-1.11vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.60-5.95vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-4.02vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.30-6.35vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-7.02vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.89Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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10.98Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.98University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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12.77Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| India Johnstone | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.