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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+6.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.22+8.22vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.50+10.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+5.75vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.97+5.90vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.46vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+1.47vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72+3.95vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.03+1.78vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.27vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-4.28vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.38-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-3.22vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.60-5.96vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-6.47vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.67-7.89vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-7.21vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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13.14Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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10.9Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.78Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 23.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.