← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.01+5.85vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+7.72vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.74+4.95vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.67+3.91vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.03+5.64vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.27vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.38+2.24vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.24+1.83vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.22+0.93vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.97+1.25vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.54-2.22vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.30-1.99vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.72-1.05vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.50-1.38vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.60vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.60-7.64vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.56-8.39vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.23-8.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.72U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
7.95Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.91Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.64Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
9.24George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
-
9.83University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.93Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
11.25Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.78Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
10.01Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
11.95Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
12.62Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.36College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.61Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% |
| India Johnstone | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 20.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.