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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.54+7.79vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+9.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+6.82vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.50+8.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.39vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+3.25vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+1.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.64vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72+3.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-1.75vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.22-0.90vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.74-3.84vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-6.48vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.56vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.60-6.79vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.97-4.89vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-6.88vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.79Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.25George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.09Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.25Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.1Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.44Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.11Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 22.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| India Johnstone | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.