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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+10.45vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.72+9.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+5.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30+4.53vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+2.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.03+3.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.35vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-0.42vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.22+0.24vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-1.75vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.38-3.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-7.63vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-4.10vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-8.20vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.67-8.86vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.39Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.36College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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10.24Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.25University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.9Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.76Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| India Johnstone | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.4% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.