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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+7.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+6.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.66vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+5.78vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.03+5.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+0.55vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.60+1.25vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.37vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70+2.35vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.72+1.12vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-1.85vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-1.97vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.84vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-2.18vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-6.73vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-7.26vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.22-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.61Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.5Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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12.35Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.12Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.15University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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12.82Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.27George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 20.7% |
| India Johnstone | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.