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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+6.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+4.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+6.79vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+4.41vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+3.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.42vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-0.15vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70+3.08vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23+0.16vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.72+1.13vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.38-2.46vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.03vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.81vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.22-5.19vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-5.25vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.60-8.60vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.79University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.85Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.08Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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12.13Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.75Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.4College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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12.72Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 16.0% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.