← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.69vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.67+6.15vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.03+8.01vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.01+2.51vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.56+3.35vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.30+3.58vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.38+2.19vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.54+0.44vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.74-1.41vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.34vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston2.60-2.66vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.24-1.83vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.72-1.12vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.19vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.70-2.99vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.22-6.08vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.23-7.00vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.50-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.15Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
11.01Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
6.51Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.35Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.58Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
9.19George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.44Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
7.59Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
-
9.66U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.34College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
-
10.17University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
11.88Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
12.01Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
9.92Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.71Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| India Johnstone | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.