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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+7.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+6.80vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+7.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+3.57vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.40vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23+1.76vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.22+0.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.34vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.60-2.64vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.42vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-2.50vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72-2.32vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.38-5.90vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-3.04vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-7.27vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.70-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.36College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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10.5Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.68Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.1George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.96Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.88Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% |
| India Johnstone | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 21.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.