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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+7.54vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+4.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+2.66vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38+3.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-0.41vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.03+2.56vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-1.14vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+3.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-1.28vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.22-1.74vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-1.17vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-4.45vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-6.56vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-6.12vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-4.79vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.66Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.56Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.86Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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13.11Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.21Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| India Johnstone | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 22.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 16.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.