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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+9.04vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.47+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz2.28-0.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+5.90vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.40+6.66vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.86+7.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-1.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+1.53vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.83+8.85vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.15+4.61vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.94+2.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.84+1.42vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+0.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.03-6.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.41+0.77vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-3.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.00-3.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.15+1.73vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.81-6.36vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.88-6.27vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.25-5.05vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.01-8.00vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-5.33vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-1.98-5.23vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-2.25-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.9%1st Place
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4.44San Diego State University1.4714.2%1st Place
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2.43University of California at Santa Cruz2.2837.8%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.243.4%1st Place
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8.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.223.9%1st Place
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12.66University of California at Berkeley-0.402.3%1st Place
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14.54San Diego State University-0.861.3%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.638.5%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.0%1st Place
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18.85California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.5%1st Place
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15.61Arizona State University-1.150.8%1st Place
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14.29Santa Clara University-0.941.5%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Irvine-0.841.5%1st Place
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14.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.882.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at San Diego0.035.1%1st Place
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16.77University of California at Davis-1.411.2%1st Place
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13.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.4%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-1.001.4%1st Place
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20.73University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Berkeley-0.811.5%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Irvine-0.881.2%1st Place
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16.95University of California at San Diego-1.250.8%1st Place
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15.0San Diego State University-1.011.7%1st Place
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18.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.851.1%1st Place
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19.77California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
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20.79University of California at Los Angeles-2.250.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Groom | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 14.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 37.8% | 25.1% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Altman | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% |
| Elias Ricken | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brayden Money | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 22.1% |
| John Mayfield | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| julian stauffer | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Luke Graham | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 15.3% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.