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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.32+5.93vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+0.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.50+3.38vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.46+10.68vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.87+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47+0.37vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+8.55vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-1.72vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.59+5.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.16vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.11+6.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-5.80vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine1.06-2.58vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-5.49vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31-1.70vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley0.92-5.39vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University0.52-4.77vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-4.58vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.14-6.45vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis0.03-6.81vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.37-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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2.89Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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6.38Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.68University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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15.55California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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6.28California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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14.03Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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19.73Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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10.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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15.3University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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14.23Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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16.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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15.55California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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16.19University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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14.93California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 32.2% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 51.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.