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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+5.46vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+13.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+5.30vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.32+3.05vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74-1.91vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+0.40vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14+8.80vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-1.38vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.66+0.71vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.46+3.69vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria1.87-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.70vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University0.59-0.35vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.71-6.52vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.03-0.27vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-10.28vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine1.06-6.91vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.14-4.20vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego0.31-5.48vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-5.57vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.11-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.24California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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3.09Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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6.4California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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15.8California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.71Western Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Victoria1.870.0%1st Place
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14.45University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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14.65Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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16.73University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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15.8California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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15.52University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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16.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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19.69Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 29.6% | 21.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Johannessen | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.