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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+5.42vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University0.59+12.36vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.32+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.84vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.87+3.90vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+9.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92+5.70vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74-4.92vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.50-2.62vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14+6.04vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.90vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.06-0.68vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.03+2.78vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.58-1.36vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.46-2.28vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.47-11.34vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.71-9.61vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego0.31-4.72vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University1.66-11.10vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.11-2.34vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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14.36Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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15.3California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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12.7University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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3.08Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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6.38Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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16.04California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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10.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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16.78University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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16.04California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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14.64University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.39University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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15.28University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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9.9Western Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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19.66Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Lynch | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 28.1% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Johannessen | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 51.3% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.