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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.66+8.89vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.32+4.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.50+2.47vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+10.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.82vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74-4.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+8.52vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.14+7.06vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.59+4.14vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria1.87-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.67vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.31+0.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.03+0.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.93vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.06-5.73vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-8.33vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.11-0.21vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon0.46-6.21vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.14-5.94vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.71-13.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89Western Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.42California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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6.47Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.23California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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2.95Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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16.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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16.06California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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14.14Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Victoria1.870.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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15.73University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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16.43University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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10.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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19.79Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.79University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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16.06California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johannessen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 30.5% | 22.6% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 54.7% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.