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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.61+6.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.98+2.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.44-1.74vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+2.59vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+4.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-5.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.46+2.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+1.75vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.72-3.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-4.35vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-2.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.08-5.46vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.12vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.15-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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8.89University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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9.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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12.25California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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12.11University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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12.25California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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14.01University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hopps | 18.5% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 23.0% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.6% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.