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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+1.28vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.61+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.98+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.72+0.57vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+2.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.39-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.46+0.17vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-0.42vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-2.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-4.00vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.08-7.44vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.15-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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3.92California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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9.09University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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12.58California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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12.17University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.58California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristram Craig | 14.0% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 22.2% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 14.1% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 20.8% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 4.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.