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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.98+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.61+4.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-1.73vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-2.06vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+2.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.46+2.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.39-1.48vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+0.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.07vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-1.52vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria0.72-6.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.08vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine0.08-6.46vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.15-5.00vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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3.94California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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12.2University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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12.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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13.92University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristram Craig | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 22.9% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 14.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 19.7% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.