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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.52vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.61+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.72+2.34vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.98-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-5.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.46+0.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-0.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.15-1.85vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.14vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-5.14vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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3.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.91California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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9.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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11.51University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
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11.86California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.86California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 14.5% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 20.1% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 23.5% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.