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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+2.96vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+8.77vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.61+5.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-1.78vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.98+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-3.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.15+3.07vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.72-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.39-3.17vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.14vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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10.77California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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3.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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3.84California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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7.06University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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8.83University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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10.77California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.71University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristram Craig | 16.0% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 17.2% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 22.1% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 24.2% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 22.2% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.