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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+1.91vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+7.77vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.61+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-3.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.46+2.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-0.22vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.15+1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.72-4.07vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.98-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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10.77California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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3.84California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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8.25University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.3%1st Place
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10.61University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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8.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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10.77California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 10.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 15.5% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 17.8% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 25.6% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 35.4% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.