← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College1.92+2.51vs Predicted
-
2University of Florida1.91+1.62vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.09+1.86vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.88-1.73vs Predicted
-
5Florida Institute of Technology0.05+1.42vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.20-3.86vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida0.94-2.86vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University-0.55-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51Rollins College1.920.2%1st Place
-
3.62University of Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
4.86University of Miami1.090.1%1st Place
-
2.27University of South Florida2.880.4%1st Place
-
6.42Florida Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
3.14Eckerd College2.200.2%1st Place
-
5.14University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
-
7.05Jacksonville University-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jackson | 15.7% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Danny Levy | 13.9% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Amy Gaylord | 6.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 5.0% |
| William Felder | 37.1% | 26.2% | 19.6% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zach Kowalski | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 31.8% | 30.2% |
| Erik Brydges | 19.0% | 21.2% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kimberly Calnan | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Oglesby | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 23.2% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.