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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.61+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.98+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-1.44vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-3.36vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+2.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.46+1.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.15+2.07vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.72-3.97vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-5.37vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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8.21University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.64California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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10.76California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.76California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristram Craig | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 23.0% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 20.1% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 10.6% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 17.6% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.