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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.61+5.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.98+3.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.44-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-1.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-3.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.46+1.22vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+0.47vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.72-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-4.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.15-2.45vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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8.13University of Victoria0.610.0%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Santa Barbara0.980.0%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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10.22University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.47California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Irvine-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.47California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hopps | 16.6% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 22.0% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Pow | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Hecht | 3.3% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 15.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 20.8% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 25.9% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Kurtz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 48.8% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 25.9% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.