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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+3.94vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+6.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-1.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.18+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.74-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.62+3.24vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.93-2.40vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.48-0.04vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.48-1.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.01-0.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-4.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-3.05vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.54-4.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.45-3.30vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.68-3.61vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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8.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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2.05University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.5%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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11.24University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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10.96California State University Monterey Bay-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.96California State University Monterey Bay-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.450.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Jensen | 9.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 45.8% | 26.4% | 15.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Burrow | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 4.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Hawkes | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Hawkes | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nellie Ponarul | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.