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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.18+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+2.05vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+3.60vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.44-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.74-0.11vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.48+2.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.50-3.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.01+0.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.54-3.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.62-5.65vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.45-4.26vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.48-8.29vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.1%1st Place
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1.93University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.5%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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8.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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5.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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10.71California State University Monterey Bay-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Victoria0.500.0%1st Place
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12.57University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.35University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.71California State University Monterey Bay-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remy Margerum | 10.3% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 48.9% | 27.1% | 13.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Burrow | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 1.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Hawkes | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 35.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Nellie Ponarul | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Hawkes | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.