← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.44+4.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.93+4.96vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+3.55vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.63+0.68vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii3.68-0.42vs Predicted
-
6California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.53vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.29vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University1.42+5.27vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.46vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria1.65+2.12vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego1.81+0.34vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay0.56+3.80vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine1.35-0.51vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley1.060.00vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University1.87-4.40vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-1.90vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis0.42-0.58vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Berkeley1.62-6.72vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University1.14-5.77vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.32vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.98vs Predicted
-
23California State University Monterey Bay0.56-6.20vs Predicted
-
24University of Oregon0.76-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.28Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
-
6.96University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.55California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
-
4.68Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
-
4.58University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
7.53California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
13.27Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
9.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.12University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.34University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
16.8California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
15.0University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
-
11.6Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
-
15.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
-
17.42University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
12.28University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
14.23Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
-
15.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
17.02University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
16.8California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
-
15.89University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 13.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.