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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+6.61vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+4.12vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68+0.50vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+1.38vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.44-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.65+4.31vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56+7.79vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University1.14+4.37vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.42+1.98vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.35-0.45vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.87-3.43vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-0.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.44+0.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.28vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.81-7.54vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.56-3.21vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.42-3.87vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley1.06-7.15vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.62-10.75vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon0.76-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.61Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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7.12University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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6.38California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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5.24Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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16.79California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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14.37Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.98Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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11.57Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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17.02University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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11.46University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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16.79California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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17.13University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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14.85University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 16.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.