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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+4.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63+2.74vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.56+13.97vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68+0.59vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76+10.03vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93-0.22vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-1.48vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.87+2.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-4.32vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria1.65+0.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.35+0.56vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University1.14+0.67vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42+2.53vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.80vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.29vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.06-4.41vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University1.42-7.04vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.83vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-6.87vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay0.56-6.03vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego1.81-12.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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4.74Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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16.97California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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7.6California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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16.03University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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6.52California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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11.29Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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13.56University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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14.67Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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17.53University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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14.59University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
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12.96Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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17.17University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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15.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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16.97California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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11.41University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 15.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.