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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+3.54vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+3.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63+1.80vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93+1.98vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.65+4.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.97vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.56+7.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.06+4.65vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.87+0.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.35+0.56vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+1.48vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University1.42-1.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.81-4.60vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.42+0.47vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.56-2.23vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.53vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University1.14-6.73vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley1.62-9.56vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.44-5.98vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon0.76-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.2Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.53California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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6.37California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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16.77California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Berkeley1.060.0%1st Place
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11.15Western Washington University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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13.56University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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15.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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13.52Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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17.47University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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16.77California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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14.27Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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17.02University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Bordes | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.