← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+8.01vs Predicted
-
2San Diego State University1.47+2.21vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz2.28-0.65vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+1.71vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+4.99vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.25+10.00vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+9.09vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University-0.86+5.77vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-0.88+4.72vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-1.41+5.85vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.00+2.72vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.03-3.53vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-1.43+3.29vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.81-1.29vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-7.16vs Predicted
-
16California State University Monterey Bay-1.83+1.99vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley-0.40-4.83vs Predicted
-
18San Diego State University-1.01-3.89vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Davis-2.15+1.16vs Predicted
-
20Santa Clara University-0.94-6.50vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-1.15-6.63vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles-2.25-1.96vs Predicted
-
23California State University Channel Islands-1.98-4.13vs Predicted
-
24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21-9.34vs Predicted
-
25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.53-3.91vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.243.1%1st Place
-
4.21San Diego State University1.4716.2%1st Place
-
2.35University of California at Santa Cruz2.2838.3%1st Place
-
5.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.638.8%1st Place
-
9.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.0%1st Place
-
16.0University of California at San Diego-1.250.9%1st Place
-
16.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.571.1%1st Place
-
13.77San Diego State University-0.861.9%1st Place
-
13.72University of California at Irvine-0.881.7%1st Place
-
15.85University of California at Davis-1.410.7%1st Place
-
13.72University of California at San Diego-1.001.6%1st Place
-
8.47University of California at San Diego0.034.2%1st Place
-
16.29University of California at Irvine-1.430.9%1st Place
-
12.71University of California at Berkeley-0.811.8%1st Place
-
7.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.225.4%1st Place
-
17.99California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.5%1st Place
-
12.17University of California at Berkeley-0.402.1%1st Place
-
14.11San Diego State University-1.011.5%1st Place
-
20.16University of California at Davis-2.150.3%1st Place
-
13.5Santa Clara University-0.941.2%1st Place
-
14.37Arizona State University-1.151.3%1st Place
-
20.04University of California at Los Angeles-2.250.5%1st Place
-
18.87California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
-
14.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.211.1%1st Place
-
21.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.530.4%1st Place
-
18.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Holguin | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 16.2% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 38.3% | 27.5% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| John Mayfield | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Parker Ziegler | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Altman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| julian stauffer | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 17.5% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 17.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Kieran McEwen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 24.9% |
| Luke Graham | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.