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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.66+8.82vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.37+13.21vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.50+3.59vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.52vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.14+8.12vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.59+5.38vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-3.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.06-0.66vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria1.87-4.85vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.46+0.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.03+0.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31-1.46vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-7.16vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.71-9.68vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.58-5.48vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.14-4.88vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-5.61vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.11-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.82Western Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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15.21California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.05Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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7.14University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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16.12California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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14.38Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.27California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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12.34University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Victoria1.870.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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16.41University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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15.54University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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10.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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16.12California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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16.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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19.72Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johannessen | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 28.7% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 51.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.