← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.32+6.01vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.50+4.26vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.93+1.98vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.62vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands0.37+10.11vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+0.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.47-0.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria1.87+0.86vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University1.66+0.61vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.06+2.07vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.19vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.14+4.14vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis0.03+3.50vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.61vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.80vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley1.71-6.66vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-6.06vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.62vs Predicted
-
19Santa Clara University0.59-4.92vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego0.31-4.48vs Predicted
-
21University of Oregon0.46-6.29vs Predicted
-
22California State University Monterey Bay0.14-5.86vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University-1.11-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.01University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
-
6.26Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.98Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
-
15.11California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.25California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.26University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.86University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
-
9.61Western Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
-
12.07University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
7.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
16.14California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
16.5University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
-
14.61University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
13.2University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
9.34University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
16.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
14.08Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
15.52University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
14.71University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
16.14California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
19.72Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Johannessen | 2.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 51.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.