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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+5.03vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+13.49vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+0.49vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52+1.75vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-1.94vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.55-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.93+1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48+1.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.09-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+2.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.30+2.08vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+1.49vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.50-2.84vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.17-3.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.61vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-1.10vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.08-5.70vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-9.77vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University0.10-7.68vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-1.72-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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16.49California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.49Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.55Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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8.75University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.06California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.76Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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12.78University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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16.08University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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16.49California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.16California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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13.97Western Washington University0.170.0%1st Place
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17.39University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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17.9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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11.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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14.32Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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19.79University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 16.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 16.3% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Prentice | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 16.3% | 48.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.