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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+6.08vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+0.52vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+1.00vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+10.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.93+3.27vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.48+3.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.07vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.55-2.35vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.30+2.89vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+2.34vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.10-0.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.17vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.50-4.24vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.09-7.36vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University0.17-5.01vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.08-5.73vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-3.96vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley-0.70-5.83vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-1.72-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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9.08University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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4.52Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.0California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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16.34California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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11.27University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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8.65Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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15.89University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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16.34California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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14.63Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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15.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.76California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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10.64University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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13.99Western Washington University0.170.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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18.04University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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17.17University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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19.81University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 13.3% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 15.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.6% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Prentice | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 48.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.