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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.92vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+1.35vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+11.63vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.52+3.46vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.48+5.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.16vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-3.40vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.30+5.10vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.52vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.93-1.38vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.50-0.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95+2.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.08-2.33vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.50-4.63vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University0.10-4.40vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.19vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-4.37vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.70-5.45vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.60-3.98vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-1.72-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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4.35Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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15.63California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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4.24Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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12.02University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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5.6California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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15.1University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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10.62University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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12.19Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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17.61University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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13.67University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.37California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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13.6Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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16.81University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.63California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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16.55University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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19.02Santa Clara University-1.600.0%1st Place
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19.35University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 18.8% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 14.6% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 15.4% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| William Pollard | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.