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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+3.32vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+3.64vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+12.75vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+0.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+2.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.08+4.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.93+0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48+1.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.30+3.17vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.50-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95+3.50vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.15vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.50-3.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.09-6.91vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-2.25vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.20vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University0.10-6.43vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon-1.72-1.55vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.70-5.55vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.60-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.64California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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15.75California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.36Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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13.8University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.14Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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17.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.06California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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15.75California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.57Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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19.45University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
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16.45University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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19.05Santa Clara University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.3% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 20.7% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| William Pollard | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 21.3% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.