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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+2.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+1.38vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+11.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+2.45vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.50+4.93vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.48+3.24vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.93-0.55vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.50+0.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.08+0.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95+3.54vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.30+0.40vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.09-6.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.32vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.17vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-12.49vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University0.10-6.20vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University-1.60-3.01vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-7.39vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-1.72-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.38Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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15.61California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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8.45University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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11.93Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.85California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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10.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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12.22California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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17.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.4University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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16.68University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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13.8Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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18.99Santa Clara University-1.600.0%1st Place
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15.61California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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19.28University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 16.1% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.1% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 17.7% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Pollard | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.