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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+3.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.48+9.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.09+4.99vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+2.38vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+8.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.93+2.72vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.40-3.36vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-5.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-4.47vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.50+0.20vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.50-0.84vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.30+0.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.08-2.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95+0.50vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University0.10-4.30vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.70-2.58vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-4.66vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-4.06vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.60-4.01vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-1.72-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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4.26Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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12.49University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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15.34California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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5.64California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.2Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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12.2California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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12.16Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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10.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.68University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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17.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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13.7Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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16.42University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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15.34California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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16.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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18.99Santa Clara University-1.600.0%1st Place
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19.33University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 14.3% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 16.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 17.1% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 15.5% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| William Pollard | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.