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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+2.44vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.40+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.13vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.55+3.79vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92-1.59vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.41+8.85vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.08+5.35vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.50+2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48+1.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.09-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.30+2.78vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.17+0.27vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.63vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.93-5.02vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95+1.03vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.41-3.15vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-0.70-3.02vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University0.10-6.89vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-4.46vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon-1.72-3.31vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-17.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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6.06California Poly Maritime Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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8.79Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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4.41Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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15.85California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.65California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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14.27Western Washington University0.170.0%1st Place
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11.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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18.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.85California State University Monterey Bay-0.410.0%1st Place
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16.98University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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14.11Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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17.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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19.69University of Oregon-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Larsen | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 17.0% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 13.9% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Prentice | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Kylee Walterman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Albertine | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.