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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.08+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+0.57vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+1.18vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.36+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.97-2.28vs Predicted
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7Washington University1.78-2.44vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.31-0.67vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.27-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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2.57University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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5.31Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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4.56Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.35Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bocklet | 11.7% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 30.4% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 26.0% | 8.8% |
| Alex Ramos | 27.3% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Harvey | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 3.9% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 12.3% | 72.7% |
| Jacob Bruce | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 25.2% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.