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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+2.22vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.78+1.56vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.36+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04-2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.31+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.08-2.89vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.27-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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4.22University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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4.56Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.27Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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7.31University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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5.35Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 30.3% | 24.5% | 20.1% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.2% |
| James Harvey | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 25.4% | 8.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 29.3% | 25.9% | 20.8% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 13.8% | 71.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Jacob Bruce | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 24.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.