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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.47+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz2.28+0.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+6.02vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.03+3.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.40+5.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.00+6.82vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+8.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-4.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.41+4.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.62vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.15+1.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.81-1.07vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.43+1.23vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.01-1.73vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.86-3.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.15+1.98vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-0.70vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.94-6.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.25-5.24vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21-7.37vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-4.92vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-1.98-4.99vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-2.25-5.15vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.53-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22San Diego State University1.4715.5%1st Place
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2.31University of California at Santa Cruz2.2839.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.243.4%1st Place
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8.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.224.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at San Diego0.033.9%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Berkeley-0.402.1%1st Place
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13.82University of California at San Diego-1.001.1%1st Place
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16.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.7%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.0%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.638.6%1st Place
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15.58University of California at Davis-1.411.6%1st Place
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13.62University of California at Irvine-0.881.6%1st Place
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14.57Arizona State University-1.151.8%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Berkeley-0.812.4%1st Place
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16.23University of California at Irvine-1.430.7%1st Place
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14.27San Diego State University-1.011.3%1st Place
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13.64San Diego State University-0.862.2%1st Place
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19.98University of California at Davis-2.150.7%1st Place
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18.3California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.7%1st Place
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13.61Santa Clara University-0.941.8%1st Place
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15.76University of California at San Diego-1.251.4%1st Place
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14.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.211.0%1st Place
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18.08University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.5%1st Place
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19.01California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
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19.85University of California at Los Angeles-2.250.3%1st Place
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21.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.530.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 15.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 39.0% | 26.6% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| John Mayfield | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| julian stauffer | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.5% |
| Annika Altman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Luke Graham | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| Kieran McEwen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.